Expectations and realities (USA list for 2016)

USA2016

Now that the SSA released the list for 2016, let’s take a look at the names I’ve raised on my blog and other media that were expected to have an impact and their results.

  • Names from Names most likely to jump in the US in 2016
    • Not surprisingly, all the six names experienced a jump of some sorts. But what matters, in this case, is how the percentage changes differ from the BabyCenter data (the main basis for the post) percentage changes.
      • Arlo – jumped by 68% to 968 counts from 576 in 2015 – compared to 91% on BC
      • Jupiter – jumped by 86% to 78 counts from 42 in 2015 – compared to 113% on BC
      • Kylo – jumped by 580% to 238 counts from 35 in 2015, thereby entering the top 1000 – compared to 506% on BC
      • Lyanna – jumped by 248% to 216 counts from 62 in 2015 – compared to 398% on BC (I put up a poll in December about the likelihood of Lyanna entering the top 1000, looks like the sceptics are right all along)
      • Rey – jumped by around 1,475-6,200% to 63 counts from less than 5 in 2015, making this girls names a high debutant – compared to 1,267% on BC
      • Zayn – jumped by 83% to 741 counts from 406 in 2015 – compared to 108% on BC
    • It is a pretty mixed picture in terms of percentage comparison, but I would say it’s not that bad in general.
  • A list of names that haven’t made it to the list on the linked post
    • The 6 names that I had added to the linked post belong to the ‘GREEN’ list (in other words, the final list). Here are the names that only made to the ‘ORANGE’ list:
      • Dory – re-entered the list with 6 girls being given this name
      • Nemo – 6 boys in 2016 compared to 5 in 2015
      • Ellen – 446 girls in 2016 compared to 402 in 2015
      • Floyd – 116 boys in 2016 compared to 107 in 2015
      • Harley – 1,422 girls in 2016 compared to 1,127 in 2015
      • Carrie – 140 girls in 2016 compared to 125 in 2015
      • Jedi – 32 boys in 2016 compared to 13 in 2015 – not shown in girl name list
      • Onyx – 56 girls in 2016 compared to 38 in 2015
      • Blake – 1,091 girls in 2016 compared to 751 in 2015 (in my post about Blake, I expected the name for girls to be in the 300s in ranking – it jumped to 297th place, reducing the masculinity percentage from near 85% to 75%)
      • Royalty – 581 girls and 39 boys in 2016 compared to 219 and 30 in 2015
      • Draya – 79 girls in 2016 compared to 75 in 2015
      • Bowie – 130 boys and 75 girls in 2016 compared to 53 and 43 in 2015
      • Heiress – 34 girls in 2016 compared to 15 in 2015
  • Other names
    • Two polls regarding names that might enter the top 1000
      • Mavis and Wesson are the only names in the polls that actually entered the top 1000, against the expectations of the majority that Rosalee and Alaric would be the most likely names in the polls.
      • The biggest surprise from this: Alaric. This is, pretty much, the name that the majority of us expected to enter in the top 1000, but it didn’t. In fact, it fell in usage from 182 in 2015 to 179 (not a lot, but still…).
    • My only suggestion from Nancy’s Pop Culture Baby Name Game
      • Wilder was the name I suggested following the death of Gene Wilder. The name did indeed rise to 337 counts from 215 in 2015. For girls, it rose as well to 38 counts from 22 in 2015. The question now is did the death boost the appeal of this name (even if a little bit) or was it the continuing appeal of this name that made it rise further?

That’s how it’s shaping up. Let me know in the comments section if there are any surprises and ‘thought so’ moments in the SSA data.

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